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Polls are items of stories to contemplate and scrutinize within the run-up to an election. A number of such surveys this cycle have Democrat Joe Biden forward or inside single digits of President Donald Trump in key battleground states. However after the 2016 race, when Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton regardless of polls closely suggesting a Clinton victory, many are hesitant to attract any conclusions about the place this 12 months’s race stands.
The Texas Tribune’s co-founder and govt editor, Ross Ramsey, says that people typically misconstrue polls as conclusions or predictions, relatively than snapshots in time. He argues voters have to be asking a sequence of questions: What’s the margin of error? Who sponsored the ballot? Did the pollsters survey sufficient voters? What occurred within the information cycle throughout that point? Does the ballot mirror a bigger development seen throughout a number of polls?
Watch Ramsey put these polls into perspective.